Hobby Projects · Workforce

Richmond Workforce Transition

Where AI-exposed work sits in Greater Richmond, what happened to it from 2023 to 2025, and where displaced workers could go next.

523occupations matched to AI exposure scores, covering 88.4% of metro jobsrichmond-ai-impact-analysis · README

7,570jobs lost in three clerical occupations, May 2023 to May 2025README · finding 1

28pathways to better-paid, growing, less-exposed jobs, from 17 declining occupationsoutput/reachable.txt

workforcerichmond.org ↗GitHub: the analysis ↗

Exposure is not decline

BLS OEWS May 2025 · Anthropic exposure scores

GroupFind

Declined 2023–25Grew or heldNo 2023 estimateCircle area = jobs, May 2025Dots nudged apart only to avoid overlap

Occupations at or above 0.25 exposure were no more likely to lose jobs than the rest: 50.0% versus 40.6%. Fifteen exposed occupations grew, adding 6,230 jobs. Exposure measures where an occupation’s tasks appear in Claude use. It does not measure job loss or automation risk, and a zero means the tasks did not appear in the sample. 519 of 523 occupations have published wages and are plotted.

Where displaced workers could go

O*NET adjacency · pathways_reachable.csv

Click an occupation. A destination counts when it is adjacent in O*NET, pays at least the source wage, grew from 2023 to 2025, employs 500 or more, and scores under 0.15 on exposure. 17 of the 33 declining occupations examined have one or more. For 7 of those 17, the capacity added falls short of the loss, and those 7 account for 10,680 of the 11,970 jobs lost. Customer service representatives lost 3,950 jobs; their one reachable destination added 580.